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War in 2002: Israeli intelligence
Israeli sources said military
intelligence has drafted a report that warns of the increasing likelihood
of regional war in 2002. The report said the war could be sparked by
either an Israeli offensive against the Palestinian Authority or an
escalation in tension along Israel's border with Lebanon.
It was the first time that a military report raised the likelihood of war
over the next year. Earlier assessments by military intelligence
maintained that such countries as Egypt and Jordan would seek to halt Arab
plans for war.
But the military report said that in an Israeli-Palestinian war, Egypt and
Jordan could sever diplomatic links with Israel and come under great
pressure from their people to declare war against the Jewish state, Middle
East Newsline reported.
The report, according to the sources, asserts that Palestinian Authority
Chairman Yasser Arafat maintains control over his people and the war
against Israel. Arafat, the report said, plans to continue the
10-month-old war until he achieves significant political gains.
The Israeli assessment, details of which were also broadcast on Israeli
radio and television, came as the PA has escalated attacks in the West
Bank and Gaza Strip. Palestinian gunners fired at the Jerusalem
neighborhood of Gilo and four homes were damaged. Palestinians also fired
mortars at Jewish settlements in the Gaza Strip.
"There is a harsh quarrel over the Israeli response," Internal
Security Minister Uzi Landau said. Israeli attack helicopters attacked
Palestinian security agency headquarters in Rafah on 5 August. Israeli
tanks also fired toward Palestinian positions in the Bethlehem and Hebron
areas.
For their part, Palestinians said Israeli attack helicopters fired three
missiles at the car of Fatah leader Marwan Barghouti. Barghouti escaped
the attack near Ramallah as he and his driver heard a helicopter hovering
above their car and escaped from the car minutes before a rocket blasted
it into pieces. In a related development, the Jerusalem Post reported on 5
August that the United States has agreed to establish a mechanism that
would monitor Egypt's use of military technology and its missile
cooperation with North Korea. But there is no monitoring of the zionist
arsenals which include close to a thousand atomic bombs.
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