Dr Mansoor Ahmad Ajazi

Bihar assembly election2015 results are going to affect coming state assembly polls of 2016 and 2017 before the next Lok Sabha polls in  2019.People of Bihar have overwhelmingly rejected the politics of communal hatred and intolerance and voted for development, secularism, pluralism, communal harmony,tolerance and peace, giving a clear signal to the ruling party at the Centre to amend its chaal,chehra and charitra, to quote its favourite slogan. Otherwise, be ready to face consequences.

On the other hand, Bihar has also sent a message to secular parties to unitedly face divisive forces to gain power. Otherwise, go into oblivion, the way the third front comprising SP, NCP, samras Samaj Party of Nagmani, and Pappu’s Jan Adhikar Morcha and MIM of Owaisi went.After the poll result, hobnobbing is on in some political circles with for creating a non-BJP, and non-Congress front. From past experiences of such fronts, it can be said that no such front is going to succeed. Also if Congress decides to go it alone, it will fail misearably. In 2014, it was one of the causes of Congress debacle, in addition to corruption and price hike.

In 2016, assembly elections are due in Assam,West Bengal,Tamil Nadu and Kerala whereas UP will go to poll in 2017. Secular parties will do well to form a mahagathbandhan on the pattern of Bihar to  halt the vijay rath of saffron.Following are the probabilities of mahagathbandhan for ensuing assembly elections of different states:

Assam: Congress  + United Democratic Front of
                                                 Badruddin Ajmal
West Bengal: Congress + TMC of Mamata Banerjee
Tamil Nadu: Congress + DMK +
            Smaller TN regional parties
UP: Congress + BSP of Mayawati +
        Rashtrya Lok Dal of Ajit Singh
Kerala is a different case where UDF and LDF both are secular fronts, which  capture power almost in an alternative pattern. However, in view of performance of BJP in local bodies polls both fronts should  prepare a sound strategy to foil  it.

This article appeared in The Milli Gazette print issue of 16-31 December 2015 on page no. 2

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